水资源(环境)承载力的研究进展   总被引：46，自引：0，他引：46       下载免费PDF全文

龙腾锐  姜文超 《水科学进展》2003,14(2):249-253

概述了水资源(环境)承载力的概念、特征、量化评价方法及其总体研究的进展。强调了系统研究水资源(环境)承载力的重要现实意义。指出了当前研究中的不足,以及有待进一步研究的问题。  相似文献   

矿田构造的研究历史、现状与发展   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

吴淦国  吕承训 《地质通报》2011,30(4):461-468

矿田构造是指在矿田范围内,控制矿床的形成和分布的地质构造因素的总和。在矿田构造和矿床构造的含义中,既包括构造形迹和岩石组构特征,又包括控矿构造的形成机制和发展历史。近10几年来的矿田矿床研究不仅强调构造对于矿体的形态、分布和组合的控制作用,也深入于构造作用对成岩成矿过程的研究。综合分析了矿田构造研究的研究历史、研究内容、研究现状与问题,对矿田构造与找矿研究的发展方向进行了展望。  相似文献   

Reduced complexity models for probabilistic forecasting of infiltration rates     

Peng Wang Daniel M. Tartakovsky 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(3):375-382

Soil heterogeneity and data sparsity combine to render estimates of infiltration rates uncertain. We develop reduced complexity models for the probabilistic forecasting of infiltration rates in heterogeneous soils during surface runoff and/or flooding events. These models yield closed-form semi-analytical expressions for the single- and multi-point infiltration-rate PDFs (probability density functions), which quantify predictive uncertainty stemming from uncertainty in soil properties. These solutions enable us to investigate the relative importance of uncertainty in various hydraulic parameters and the effects of their cross-correlation. At early times, the infiltration-rate PDFs computed with the reduced complexity models are in close agreement with their counterparts obtained from a full infiltration model based on the Richards equation. At all times, the reduced complexity models provide conservative estimates of predictive uncertainty.  相似文献   

Stochastic simulations of ocean waves: An uncertainty quantification study     

《Ocean Modelling》2015

The primary objective of this study is to introduce a stochastic framework based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) for uncertainty quantification in numerical ocean wave simulations. The techniques we present can be easily extended to other numerical ocean simulation applications. We perform stochastic simulations using a relatively new numerical method to simulate the HISWA (Hindcasting Shallow Water Waves) laboratory experiment for directional near-shore wave propagation and induced currents in a shallow-water wave basin. We solve the phased-averaged equation with hybrid discretization based on discontinuous Galerkin projections, spectral elements, and Fourier expansions. We first validate the deterministic solver by comparing our simulation results against the HISWA experimental data as well as against the numerical model SWAN (Simulating Waves Nearshore). We then perform sensitivity analysis to assess the effects of the parametrized source terms, current field, and boundary conditions. We employ an efficient sparse-grid stochastic collocation method that can treat many uncertain parameters simultaneously. We find that the depth-induced wave-breaking coefficient is the most important parameter compared to other tunable parameters in the source terms. The current field is modeled as random process with large variation but it does not seem to have a significant effect. Uncertainty in the source terms does not influence significantly the region before the submerged breaker whereas uncertainty in the incoming boundary conditions does. Considering simultaneously the uncertainties from the source terms and boundary conditions, we obtain numerical error bars that contain almost all experimental data, hence identifying the proper range of parameters in the action balance equation.  相似文献   

混源油气定量研究思路与方法   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李素梅  庞雄奇  杨海军 《地质科技情报》2009,28(1)

混源研究是油气成藏机理研究的重要内容,是油气勘探方向不可回避的现实问题.以东营凹陷为例,提出多数盆地都具备油气混源的必要条件,混源现象普遍存在但具有明显的非均质性.以塔中地区为例,指出烃类指标、同位素、包裹体等地球化学测试手段是识别混源油的重要途径.密度驱动混合作用和分子扩散是油气混合的重要机制,受油源、混合时间与隔层等多种因素的控制,不同油气藏具有不同的油气混合尺度.混源定量方法主要包括:应用烃类指标或参数进行的二端元、三端元线性与非线性混源定量法、碳同位素混源定量法、模拟实验法、排烃量计算物质平衡法.建立适用于多源混合、包含多项指标、采用更优化的混合定量数学模型如与高分辨率气相色谱指纹相结合的ANN神经网络数学模拟的混源定量计算,将有效提高混源定量精度.  相似文献   

基于改进的数量化理论和RBF神经网络组合方法的地下水水质预测     

杨平  王新民  路来君 《地学前缘》2016,23(3):151-155

文中首先运用了一种改进的数量化理论I模型作为预处理工具,对影响地下水水质的20个因子进行定性数据转换、数据降维,随后将8个重要特征因子作为RBF（径向基函数）神经网络模型的输入,进一步对监测井的采样数据进行学习、训练,揭示地下水污染质迁移转化规律。尝试用经过改进的数量化理论与RBF神经网络方法二者结合,对沈阳李官水源地研究区监测井地下水水质变化进行模拟与预测,其仿真结果覆盖了现有的绝大部分实测数据,适用范围广泛,具有一定的推广价值。  相似文献   

全新世以来浙江余姚河姆渡—田螺山遗址的古环境演变及人类活动^*   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

郑丽波  郝秀东  禚彬  柳云龙  王小龙  朱立新  余新波  张甬江 《古地理学报》2016,18(5):879-894

通过对浙江余姚河姆渡—田螺山遗址附近的HMD1501和HMD1502两个钻孔的微体古生物学研究,揭示了该地区全新世以来的植被演变、气候变化、海平面变迁及人类活动。孢粉、海相沟鞭藻、淡水藻类及有孔虫内衬的记录表明: (1)在早全新世(对应于镇海组下部),植被群落属于常绿阔叶和针叶混交林,气候温暖潮湿,研究区属于海侵阶段。(2)在中全新世(对应于镇海组中部),植被群落虽仍为针阔叶混交林,但气候转为温和湿润,研究区仍属于海侵阶段。(3)由于人类活动的进一步加剧,在晚全新世(对应于镇海组上部)的植被群落中草地的面积也随之扩大,并在滨海地区开始有一些以莎草科为主的沼泽地形成,植被群落属于针阔叶混交林—草地,气候更加凉爽干燥,研究区转为海退阶段。(4)在~7235—3327 cal. yr B.P.期间,草本花粉的含量激增,特别是一些粒径不小于35,μm 的禾本科栽培作物花粉的含量增加,说明此时人类活动开始增强,河姆渡—田螺山遗址附近出现较多的水稻种植区。  相似文献   

An integrated field and numerical modelling study of controls on Late Quaternary fluvial landscape development (Tabernas,southeast Spain)          下载免费PDF全文

Martin R. Geach  Willem Viveen  Anne E. Mather  Matt W. Telfer  William J. Fletcher  Martin Stokes  Odile Peyron 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2015,40(14):1907-1926

The variability of Quaternary landforms preserved in the Tabernas basin of southeast (SE) Spain raises numerous questions concerning the roles of external forcing mechanisms (e.g. tectonics and/or climate) and internal landscape properties (e.g. lithological controls) in the evolution of the basin‐wide fluvial system over Late Quaternary timescales. In this study, we apply the FLUVER2 numerical model to investigate the significance of these landscape controls upon patterns of landscape evolution. We highlight the complications of generating realistic input datasets for use in the modelling of long‐term landscape evolution (e.g. discharge and runoff datasets). Model outputs are compared to extensive field mapping of fluvial terraces, their sedimentary architecture and optically stimulated luminescence dating results of the terraces. The results demonstrate the significance of non‐linear rates of flexural tectonic uplift towards the west of the Tabernas Basin which have controlled base levels throughout the Quaternary and promoted the formation of a series of diverging fluvial terraces. Our numerical model results further highlight the importance of climate cycles upon river terrace formation. Basin‐wide aggradation events were modelled during the transition from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6 to 5 and the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) as supported by field evidence. This aggradational pattern supports the regional hypothesis of terrace formation during global glacial cycles and cold‐to‐warm stage transitions and supports the use of sea surface temperature climate proxy data in the modelling exercise. The availability of sediments derived from the surrounding hillslopes and adjacent alluvial fans explains the generation of substantial terrace aggradations. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

在线地理信息服务质量评价研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

宋爱红  谭成国 《测绘信息与工程》2012,37(5):20-22

通过对评价平台各类服务的服务质量的指标体系和质量评价方法的研究,为各类在线服务进行科学合理的质量评价提供了依据。  相似文献   

柴达木盆地昆特依地区晚更新世正构烷烃分布特征及其环境变迁          下载免费PDF全文

向为  向树元  李伟波  曾宪春 《沉积与特提斯地质》2019,39(2):69-77

为探讨柴达木盆地晚更新世的环境变迁,同时为青藏高原隆升对气候变化的影响提供基础资料,对柴达木盆地昆特依地区ZK1404钻孔沉积物中的正构烷烃分布特征以及ASM~(14)C测年数据进行了分析。结果显示,昆特依地区晚更新世沉积物的正构烷烃总体上呈现以高碳数为主的分布特征,多数样品以nC_(27)、nC_(29)为主峰,部分以nC_(31)为主峰,呈现出显著的奇碳优势。少数样品中低于nC_(21)的短链正构烷烃相对丰度较高,主要以nC_(17)、nC_(20)为主峰碳数,无明显的奇偶优势。根据正构烷烃分布特征、AMS~(14)C测年数据、区域地质调查资料及沉积环境判断,柴达木盆地昆特依地区晚更新世(33600～26370a B.P.)气候环境以温凉干旱与温凉干旱偏湿交替出现为特征,与现代大陆性干旱荒漠气候截然不同。  相似文献